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2024-12-13 04:37:18

CITIC Securities: The supply or trend of government bonds will increase, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the supply or trend of government bonds will increase in the medium and long term, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. Under the logic of debt conversion, the continuous issuance of replacement special bonds will reduce the capital occupation of the banking system, but it will also increase the pressure of interest margin on the asset side, which may have a greater impact on small and medium-sized rural commercial banks. In addition, banks undertake a large number of medium and long-term interest-rate bonds or put pressure on their liquidity indicators, but at present, all indicators of state-owned banks have a high margin of safety, and we think the overall impact may be more controllable. At the beginning of next year, we can focus on the influence of small and medium-sized banks' bond buying behavior, or form a certain bullish support for long-term bond interest rates.Yonhap News Agency: South Korea's defense intelligence commander was suspended.Liu Jianchao met with New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury. According to the website of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, on December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with the outgoing New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury in Beijing. Liu Jianchao spoke highly of Mao Rui's contribution to the development of China-Singapore relations during his tenure. Liu Jianchao said that since China and Singapore established a comprehensive strategic partnership for 10 years, pragmatic cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results. At present, the world situation is uncertain and unstable. China and New Zealand are both in the Asia-Pacific region. A stable and sustainable Sino-New Zealand relationship is conducive to regional and world peace and prosperity. China is willing to work with Singapore to close inter-party exchanges, strengthen political dialogue, deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields, and promote the stability and far-reaching relations between China and Singapore.


South Korea's opposition party said that if necessary, it can seek to introduce additional budgets later.CITIC Securities' Outlook for OpenAI Release: The commercialization of AI will accelerate again. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, according to its official website, OpenAI announced that it will announce new products and functions for 12 consecutive working days from December 5th. At present, the official version of o1, ChatGPT Pro, enhanced fine-tuning and other functions have been released. We expect that the main directions of subsequent release will include multimodal, Agent and platform tools, AI applications, etc. The main products will include the foresight of important products such as Sora and Operator. At present, the rapid prosperity of model ecology, considering the upgrading of model capabilities and the lowering of industrialization threshold, combined with the application landing forms such as Agent, we expect that the landing of AI applications will continue to accelerate in 2025.The overall scale of bonus ETF exceeds 71.1 billion yuan, leading the products to exceed 20 billion yuan. As the largest dividend ETF at present, on December 6, the scale of Huatai Bairui bonus ETF rose to 20.121 billion yuan, becoming the first dividend ETF to exceed 20 billion yuan. According to the data, the product takes the dividend index of Shanghai Stock Exchange as the benchmark for performance comparison and adopts the investment strategy of complete replication method. As of December 9, the product had a floating profit of 18.21% during the year. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, as of December 9, 13 bonus ETFs have been newly established this year (excluding QDII funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect and other overseas products). On the whole, there are 37 bonus ETF products with a market size of 71.185 billion yuan. In the current market environment, dividend investment strategy has strong appeal. (Securities Daily)


Galaxy Securities: When the IP layout of "Millet Economy" was carried out, the china galaxy Securities Research Report indicated that "Millet Economy" was highly prosperous, and high-quality IP was the key. In 2024, IP products will continue to maintain a high degree of popularity, from Xiaoma Baolika brand in the first half of the year to Guzi store and Jellycat pop-up shop since the third quarter, with strong market demand. It is believed that IP creation is the core of "millet" and tide play consumption, and the influence of IP plays an important role in attracting fans and integrating multiple formats. As the key to accumulate users and break the circle of products, high-quality IP can attract consumers and extend the product life cycle. Therefore, in the current environment of high market attention and strong demand, the high prosperity of high-quality IP products is expected to be maintained. It is suggested to follow up on two tracks: the track with stable performance foundation or obvious supply-side recovery, and the track with high cost performance, and the elastic variety with incremental dimension or improvement of external factors: 1) Hong Kong stock Internet: the profit improvement expectation of Head Internet Company is strengthened, and the cost performance of investment is prominent. It is suggested to pay attention to Tencent Holdings, which has steady growth in various businesses and stable fundamentals, and the Internet video platform company, which turned losses for the first time in a single quarter and continuously improved its profitability. 2) Publishing industry: The publishing industry will accelerate the development of digitalization, personalization, customization and intelligence, and the new amount of AI+ publishing and research business will bring new opportunities to the industry, and the market value management of central enterprises will be included in the assessment. It is suggested to pay attention to: Shandong Publishing and Southern Media, which are stable in fundamentals and have certain business incremental space; 3) Cinema & Game Industry: High-quality content is always a scarce resource in the industry. It is suggested to pay attention to the game and cinema companies under AI empowerment: Shenzhou Taiyue, Bona Film, WANDA CINEMAS and so on, which have rich content reserves. 4) With regard to IP derivatives, it is recommended to pay attention to POP MART, the leader of the IP craze retail market.China Xinbao signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Henan provincial government, and "Henan released" the news of WeChat official account on December 10th. Recently, China Export Credit Insurance Corporation and the Henan provincial people's government signed a strategic cooperation agreement to promote a higher level of opening up in the new era. According to the strategic cooperation agreement, China Xinbao and the Henan Provincial People's Government will give full play to their respective advantages, continuously expand and deepen multi-field and multi-level cooperation in the field of opening up, take various measures to stabilize foreign trade, consolidate traditional markets and expand emerging markets; Actively cultivate and expand foreign trade entities and improve the level of digital trade empowerment and financing facilitation; Expand the new kinetic energy of foreign trade development and create new advantages of cross-border trade hub services in central China; Strengthen the chain stabilization of key industrial chains and actively implement the strategy of "going out"; Deepen the construction of Henan's "Belt and Road" platform mechanism, build an overseas risk prevention and control system, jointly promote the high-quality development of Henan's foreign trade and economic cooperation, and promote Henan's high-level opening up.Liu Jianchao met with New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury. According to the website of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, on December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with the outgoing New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury in Beijing. Liu Jianchao spoke highly of Mao Rui's contribution to the development of China-Singapore relations during his tenure. Liu Jianchao said that since China and Singapore established a comprehensive strategic partnership for 10 years, pragmatic cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results. At present, the world situation is uncertain and unstable. China and New Zealand are both in the Asia-Pacific region. A stable and sustainable Sino-New Zealand relationship is conducive to regional and world peace and prosperity. China is willing to work with Singapore to close inter-party exchanges, strengthen political dialogue, deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields, and promote the stability and far-reaching relations between China and Singapore.

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